Conversation

Notices

1. Embed this notice
   Faraiwe (faraiwe@mstdn.social)'s status on Monday, 20-Oct-2025 03:20:46 JST Faraiwe

   Things that bug me.

   As I mentioned, the 18 Oct No Kings protest drew about ~7M people, estimated both by RSVP and LE agencies official estimates.

   US has 332M as of last *accurate* census (no post tRump US govt agency is reliable, because political use). 7M is about 2.11% of the total US population.

   Folks are OBSESSED about the 3.5% population protesting as some magical formula for toppling a regime.

   1/x

   #TurdReich #Protests #NoKing #NoTyrants #USPol

   • Mr. Bill repeated this.
   • Embed this notice
     Faraiwe (faraiwe@mstdn.social)'s status on Monday, 20-Oct-2025 03:20:45 JST Faraiwe

     in reply to

     IF you observe 3.5% of a population protesting, maybe it means enough people BEYOND that number, who are NOT able to go protest but are also upset, are disgusted by the regime, that the regime is likely - again, LIKELY - to be toppled, by either elections or otherwise.

     That 3.5% index is flexible, too, depending on internal circumstances of the body politic, culture, regime hardness, level of oppression, etc etc etc...

     3/x

     #TurdReich #Protests #NoKing #NoTyrants #USPol

   • Embed this notice
     Faraiwe (faraiwe@mstdn.social)'s status on Monday, 20-Oct-2025 03:26:05 JST Faraiwe

     in reply to

     It's not a magical formula.

     1- Correlation is NOT Causality

     2- Indices are NOT necessarily Causality, but identifies *observable* circumstances that occur when certain factors (Causes) are present.

     If you got 11.7M Americans protesting, tRumpo would not simply get his fat, wrinkly, narcissistic, corrupt ass up and resign. No.

     The 3.5% index is NOT a magical factor, it's an... INDEX.

     2/x

     #TurdReich #Protests #NoKing #NoTyrants #USPol