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  1. Embed this notice
    picofarad (picofarad@noauthority.social)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 04:18:54 JST picofarad picofarad

    The "homicides are down 30% this year" report made a huge error. They shouldn't have said that.

    "this year" means "since trump became president" - not "30% year over year for the past 5 years"

    it means that anyone who wants to can correlate the 30% drop in homicides to *trump becoming president again*.

    In conversation about 14 hours ago from noauthority.social permalink
    • Embed this notice
      iced depresso (icedquinn@blob.cat)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 04:18:53 JST iced depresso iced depresso
      in reply to
      @picofarad is that what the report says or what the journo said.

      very often a scientist speaks with precision and the journo creases the papers a bit
      In conversation about 14 hours ago permalink
      Fish of Rage likes this.
    • Embed this notice
      iced depresso (icedquinn@blob.cat)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 04:41:22 JST iced depresso iced depresso
      in reply to
      @picofarad :neocat_magnify: yeah I have nothing to say about this
      In conversation about 14 hours ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      picofarad (picofarad@noauthority.social)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 04:41:24 JST picofarad picofarad
      in reply to
      • iced depresso

      @icedquinn https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/chicago-homicides-down-2025-half

      In conversation about 14 hours ago permalink

      Attachments

      1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: images.foxtv.com
        Chicago sees 33% drop in homicides through first half of 2025, data shows
        from @fox32news
        County data show that Chicago could be on track to record fewer than 500 homicides this year, which would be the lowest total in years.
    • Embed this notice
      iced depresso (icedquinn@blob.cat)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 09:32:15 JST iced depresso iced depresso
      in reply to
      • iced depresso
      @picofarad texas senate claims 80% of republicans want a total weed ban. except none of the public survey orgs confirm that number.

      statistics is a lie factory.
      In conversation about 9 hours ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      iced depresso (icedquinn@blob.cat)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 09:32:17 JST iced depresso iced depresso
      in reply to
      @picofarad yeah when you said source was 'mayor' and the article didn't seem to link to an actual statatician i just shrugged.
      In conversation about 9 hours ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      picofarad (picofarad@noauthority.social)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 09:32:18 JST picofarad picofarad
      in reply to
      • iced depresso

      @icedquinn https://noauthority.social/@picofarad/115085291128342933

      i meant to thread these, but didn't /shrug

      it isn't even the valid statistc, it's actually a 3% increase, not a 31% decrease. Lying with stats!

      In conversation about 9 hours ago permalink

      Attachments

      1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: static.noauthority.social
        picofarad (@picofarad@noauthority.social)
        from picofarad
        Attached: 1 image LOL! they're saying murders are down 31% because they're counting 2024 TOTAL murders (more than 1 per day!) to the numbers *through august* in 2025. if you divide 370/256 you get .69, which means 256 is 31% lower than 370. so it's a lie via statistics! so the actual murder rate is *actually* 3% more this year than last year, if you extrapolate 32 murders a month.
    • Embed this notice
      iced depresso (icedquinn@blob.cat)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 10:27:36 JST iced depresso iced depresso
      in reply to
      @picofarad the government doesn't take care of me so it should fuck off entirely when it comes to trying to be my dad :comfyshrug:
      In conversation about 8 hours ago permalink
      Fish of Rage likes this.
    • Embed this notice
      picofarad (picofarad@noauthority.social)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 10:27:37 JST picofarad picofarad
      in reply to
      • iced depresso

      @icedquinn i used to care; i think it shouldn't be criminal to have plant material or derivatives. And i suppose the argument should be made that the state already extracts lots of vice tax, so why not on this stuff.

      However, i don't think it should be celebrated and sold at the corner store.

      i dunno, maybe i'm just getting old, and annoyed that i had to have a plug or connect whenever i wanted to partake.

      and my stupid ass state banned a tree leaf so /shrug

      In conversation about 8 hours ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      iced depresso (icedquinn@blob.cat)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 10:27:38 JST iced depresso iced depresso
      in reply to
      • iced depresso
      @picofarad other polls suggest 22-30% of republican voters want complete and total legalization so the numbers are obviously very swingy.
      In conversation about 8 hours ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      iced depresso (icedquinn@blob.cat)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 10:27:39 JST iced depresso iced depresso
      in reply to
      @picofarad i don't honestly know who they asked and if the methods were remotely scientific.
      In conversation about 8 hours ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      picofarad (picofarad@noauthority.social)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 10:27:41 JST picofarad picofarad
      in reply to
      • iced depresso

      @icedquinn 80% of politician repulicans that don't own dispensaries i bet

      In conversation about 8 hours ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Fish of Rage (sun@shitposter.world)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 10:28:19 JST Fish of Rage Fish of Rage
      in reply to
      • iced depresso
      @icedquinn @picofarad it's even worse than that, there's a third guy, a headline editor, who often is even more dishonest than either of them
      In conversation about 8 hours ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      iced depresso (icedquinn@blob.cat)'s status on Monday, 25-Aug-2025 10:31:04 JST iced depresso iced depresso
      in reply to
      • Fish of Rage
      @sun @picofarad for a while i had a non-AI thing deal with that. it would use dragnet to extract text, then nltk to break sentences, and take the first 3 sentences which contained the most frequent words. and post the result to a mattermost room.

      completely obliterated headlines.
      In conversation about 8 hours ago permalink
      Fish of Rage likes this.

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