CelloMom On Cars
"Uncertainty about the future and concerns about the ecological impact of the growing human #population were key factors also identified by research.
But concerns also differed in different parts of the world, Dillarstone said. “There was a concern that came out only in Zambia and Ethiopia, which was about a family’s ability to subsist and acquire resources,” she said."
CelloMom On Cars
Global Population Crash Isn't Sci-Fi Anymore
"The European Commission’s Centre of Expertise on #Population and Migration projects that the global population will peak at 9.8 billion in the 2070s.
It is simply because, all over the world, the #TotalFertilityRate (TFR) — the number of live children the average woman bears in her lifetime — has been falling since the 1970s. In one country after another, it has dropped under the 2.1 value of the 'replacement rate'."
CelloMom On Cars
"Generally, to replace and maintain current populations, a birth rate of 2.1 children per woman is required.
According to a 2024 US Central Intelligence Agency publication comparing fertility rates around the world, in India, the 1950 #BirthRate of 6.2 has plummeted to just above 2; it is projected to fall to 1.29 by 2050 and just 1.04 by 2100. The fertility rate in Nepal is now just 1.85; in Bangladesh, 2.07."
https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2024/10/13/choosing-to-be-child-free-in-an-apocalyptic-south-asia
CelloMom On Cars
Population growth varies across the planet. You can look it up for a specific place by searching for #TotalFertilityRate (the average number of babies per woman) for that place.
The graph below shows that TFR is
1.64 United States
1.40 Canada
1.28 China
For a stable population, TFR = 2.1. Meaning, the US population is growing slightly only because of immigration.
In South Korea, TFR = 0.84.
CelloMom On Cars
I learned about population, growth, and total fertility rate from this TED talk by the late Hans Rosling, a scientist with an irrepressible way of talking about statistics as not only interesting but exciting and funny.
It's from 2006 but the trends in population growth have continued since then.
https://www.ted.com/talks/hans_rosling_the_best_stats_you_ve_ever_seen?language=en
CelloMom On Cars
Back in the 1960s and 1970s, the "population bomb" was a Thing.
Now, not so much.
Yes, the world population is still growing. But the *rate* of growth is decreasing fast, and most demographers predict a population peak this century.
One of the best places for a reality check is this #OurWorldInData page:
https://ourworldindata.org/population-growth
Includes a link to visualisations, some interactive.
CelloMom On Cars
Back in the 1800s, women all over the world had, on average, 6 babies.
European women were the first to start having fewer babies.
Why?
The Industrial Revolution started in Europe.
This graph shows that as each region developed, women in that region have fewer babies. Today, highly developed nations have low total fertility rates: 1.4 in Europe, 1.8 in the US, even 0.8 in South Korea. Regions that have a higher birth rate simply started developing later.
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