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   Raphaël Vinot (rafi0t@social.yoyodyne-it.eu)'s status on Sunday, 08-Dec-2024 02:58:42 JST Raphaël Vinot

   Alright, so Assad is falling. It's now clear that Russia is absolutely incapable to do anything (besides bombing a few hospitals) when one of their protégé falls. Who's next?

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     Quinn Norton (quinn@social.circl.lu)'s status on Sunday, 08-Dec-2024 02:58:40 JST Quinn Norton

     in reply to

     @rafi0t the thing is tho that they'd been a hemorrhage point for *ages* ..i'm not sure this is a great departure quite as much as being done with Assad's ability to actually manage his mess for more than a decade.

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     Quinn Norton (quinn@social.circl.lu)'s status on Sunday, 08-Dec-2024 03:14:17 JST Quinn Norton

     in reply to

     • Walter van Holst

     @whvholst @rafi0t but like Port Arthur, it doesn't help to throw good money after bad.

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     Walter van Holst (whvholst@eupolicy.social)'s status on Sunday, 08-Dec-2024 03:14:18 JST Walter van Holst

     in reply to

     • Quinn Norton

     @quinn @rafi0t There is the centuries old Russian obsession with access to seas, preferably unfrozen ones. Losing Tartus must sting in similar ways as losing Port Arthur did.

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     Quinn Norton (quinn@social.circl.lu)'s status on Sunday, 08-Dec-2024 03:31:49 JST Quinn Norton

     in reply to

     • Walter van Holst

     @whvholst @rafi0t sorry, it's an American saying from poker, about keeping resources going after it doesn't make anymore sense. sunk cost fallacy.

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     Walter van Holst (whvholst@eupolicy.social)'s status on Sunday, 08-Dec-2024 03:31:50 JST Walter van Holst

     in reply to

     • Quinn Norton

     @quinn @rafi0t I think it is less a money than a manpower, equipment and logistics question. Putin needs all of that more desperately in Ukraine.