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   AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:24:04 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

   Hi! US Politics Knower here. Been immersed this longer than I care to recount, so I'm gonna do a thread on it, partly to explain this situation and partly for my own personal therapy, so feel free to mute this if you aren't into it. Gonna be a long thread. Here's what's happening with Biden and the Democrats and why it's both boring and extremely dangerous. 1/

   #USPol #Biden #Democrats #Politics

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     AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:23:59 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

     in reply to

     Biden has all the delegates.
     Team Dump Biden want him to step aside gracefully, and say "For the good of the Republic, I release all my delegates, and instruct them to instead nominate..."

     ...

     ...you see where this is going.

     Normally you'd have the guy who got the 2nd most delegates and nominate him instead but, *there is no 2nd guy*. Nobody else has been running a campaign at all. 9/

     #USPol #Democrats #Biden

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     AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:24:00 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

     in reply to

     Where things start to go off the rails for us is that (1) this hasn't happened in forever and (2) in the 1800 case, there were several clear front-runners who all controlled *some* delegates, and were in a position to make a deal (this is the "brokered" in "brokered convention"). Party members would know who to vote for if their guy didn't make it over the finish line. 8/

     #USPol #Democrats #Biden

     Elledeeay repeated this.
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     AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:24:01 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

     in reply to

     What happens is that any candidate can release their delegates and tell them to vote for someone else. So, Joe Seattle would release his delegates and say to vote for Sam Philadelphia in exchange for becoming Joe Vice President. And Dave Miami would do the same in exchange for being named Joe Secretary of State.

     The delegates, now released, told who to vote for, vote again, and off we go. 7/

     #USPol #Democrats #Biden

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     AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:24:02 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

     in reply to

     This year, #2 was happening. Nobody was seriously challenging #Biden, so all the delegates from states that have already voted are pledged to him. Normally, you go to the convention, everybody votes for Biden, and you're off to the general.

     But it's pretty obvious that is not gonna happen this time. Biden is being pressured to drop out even though he already has all the delegate votes. 4/

     #USPol #Democrats

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     AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:24:02 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

     in reply to

     So what happens now? Well, this is not unprecedented. Back in the day before radio/TV/Internet, it was not uncommon to have what they call a 'brokered convention'. This was when nobody had a majority of delegates and the convention itself had to figure out a nominee. It was actually pretty common back in the day. 5/

     #USPol #Democrats #Biden

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     AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:24:02 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

     in reply to

     Imagine, say 1800. Joe Seattle won the West coast primaries but Sam Philadelphia won the East coast states, because there was no national media to tell the whole country who was running.

     So you get to the convention with several people having *some* delegates, but nobody having a majority. How did this work? 6/

     #USPol #Democrats #Biden

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     AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:24:03 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

     in reply to

     First you need to understand how US party primaries work. It's a little bit like the Electoral College: every state Democratic party has a number of delegates. Those delegates get 'pledged' to go to the DNC and vote for whomever won the primary election in their state. (There's some wiggle room here, but let's not overcomplicate it.) 2/

     #USPol #Democrats #Biden

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     AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈 (andthisismrspeacock@mas.to)'s status on Friday, 19-Jul-2024 10:24:03 JST AndThisIsMrsPeacock 🏳‍🌈

     in reply to

     In a normal year, one of two things happens:

     #1: There are several candidates vying for the nomination. They are trying to win enough pledged delegates to win the nomination outright, so they are running in all the states to win Delegates.

     #2: There is an incumbent President that nobody is running against, so this whole thing is a formality, the President will have it locked up very early. 3/

     #USPol #Biden #Democrats