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   Bread up, Bro (sickburnbro@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 25-Jun-2024 20:49:14 JST Bread up, Bro
   segre is also unsure what exactly is going to happen.
   • Embed this notice
     Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb: (trevorgoodchild@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 25-Jun-2024 21:15:33 JST Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:

     in reply to
     @sickburnbro Remember that many (including me) were confident that Russia would curb-stomp the Ukraine in 2022 as badly as the Donbass militias did in 2015 (Debaltsevo), and as effortlessly as they annexed Crimea
     
     Whoops
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     Bread up, Bro (sickburnbro@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 25-Jun-2024 21:17:42 JST Bread up, Bro

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     @TrevorGoodchild yeah, I also made that mistake. I haven't forgotten, and what I attribute the mistake to was misjudging how critical ZOG decided to treat it.
     
     We know now they were willing to surrender sooner, but that was taken off the table, the "by who" keeps changing but it goes to show that subtle misjudgements can have huge effects in war.
   • Embed this notice
     PodunkPotato (podunkpotato@nicecrew.digital)'s status on Tuesday, 25-Jun-2024 22:04:41 JST PodunkPotato

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     • EvilSandmich
     I still expect that Russia could have, but they opted intentionally for the slow bleed with eyes to a future NATO conflict. A deliberate decision rather than Ukrainian oppositional might.
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     EvilSandmich (evilsandmich@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 25-Jun-2024 22:04:41 JST EvilSandmich

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     • PodunkPotato
     @PodunkPotato @TrevorGoodchild @sickburnbro Recall Russia's initial Zerg Rush in the war as even *they* thought like I did, that no one really wanted to "do this", that Ukrainians weren't going to fight to the last man for the buttsex empire. When they realized the insanity they were facing they completely reanalyzed the situation.
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     EvilSandmich (evilsandmich@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 25-Jun-2024 22:04:42 JST EvilSandmich

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     @TrevorGoodchild @sickburnbro >Whoops
     
     I know I was of the opinion that the whole thing was insane and that cooler/smarter heads would prevail, but whoops, turns out that none exist, silly me 🤡
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     Bread up, Bro (sickburnbro@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 25-Jun-2024 22:05:24 JST Bread up, Bro

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     • PodunkPotato
     • EvilSandmich
     @EvilSandmich @PodunkPotato @TrevorGoodchild yeah, just goes to show you should never underestimate clown world doubling down.
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     Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb: (trevorgoodchild@poa.st)'s status on Wednesday, 26-Jun-2024 22:47:46 JST Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:

     in reply to

     • Orkin_Awk
     @Orkin_Awk @sickburnbro Honestly they've always behaved like they were going to have to fight the entirety of NATO at some point and are reserving forces accordingly. Very cautious, even now that they have troops and materiel to spare.
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     Orkin_Awk (orkin_awk@poa.st)'s status on Wednesday, 26-Jun-2024 22:47:47 JST Orkin_Awk

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     @TrevorGoodchild @sickburnbro the slow pace of this military operation seems very weird to me. In the first 18 months, I was saying that Putin just didn't want to over commit his forces. But there must be something that hasn't been revealed yet, I don't know