Half-formed thought: partially unseated from centralized, highly visible, near-monopoly market dominance of end user computing, made successful transition to less visible but equally pervasive tentacles-everywhere dominance of computational plumbing + services, making a killing on rent-seeking from biz client ⇒ Microsoft is the new IBM https://www.wired.com/story/the-us-government-has-a-microsoft-problem/
Really good point, and I wish I remembered who made it:
Microsoft’s OpenAI gambit looks like a “head I win, tails I win” play: If OpenAI is renting computing power from MS — and LLMs sure do need gob tons of it — then it’s •already• profitable for MS. This whole AI bubble is pumping money from a sea of revved-up VCs and FOMO-addled CEOs straight into Microsoft’s pockets.
Even if there’s nothing but wreckage when the AI bubble bursts, even if none of the hype pans out, MS still makes bank.
@inthehands Ed Zitron made a pretty good case on tech won’t save us that some companies, like Microsoft, appear to be sort of just creating money right now by throwing money at open AI as cloud computing credits, then receiving it and could be reporting it as revenue sort of? Honestly don’t seem legal but I’ll leave that for Lina Khan. https://overcast.fm/+ZpQDXOsjk
@cam The financial side of stuff like this is utterly bollixing to me; I don’t even begin to understand the accounting involved. But the strategic side makes sense to me: if the money flows downhill to you in the end, all you need to do is get people with deep pockets whipped up.
There’s a marine isopod parasite that with crawl inside a fish’s mouth, eat the fish’s tongue, and then sit down where the tongue should be and •let the fish use it as its tongue•, taking a cut of everything the fish eats. The fish is not thrilled about this, of course, but if it kicks out the parasite, it will die.
Just a random fun nature fact. Any relation to the items upthread is left as an exercise for the reader.
@inthehands Agree with your thoughts about platforms being winners, but not sure you can class the providers of all that expensive hardware as parasites