GNU social JP
  • FAQ
  • Login
GNU social JPは日本のGNU socialサーバーです。
Usage/ToS/admin/test/Pleroma FE
  • Public

    • Public
    • Network
    • Groups
    • Featured
    • Popular
    • People

Conversation

Notices

  1. Embed this notice
    Sheril Kirshenbaum (sheril@mastodon.social)'s status on Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 01:12:25 JST Sheril Kirshenbaum Sheril Kirshenbaum

    About 109 billion people have lived & died. Each grain of sand represents 10 million.

    This stunning data visualization of human life by Max Roser was published in 2022.

    Today there would be 805 green grains representing 8.05 billion people living on Earth. #science #art

    In conversation Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 01:12:25 JST from mastodon.social permalink

    Attachments


    1. https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/110/718/331/885/782/157/original/4297f974301421ac.jpeg
    • clacke likes this.
    • Embed this notice
      clacke (clacke@libranet.de)'s status on Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 11:04:33 JST clacke clacke
      in reply to
      • Esslar2

      @flyhigh @Sheril en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estimate… starts at 50 k years ago and gets to a similar figure, 100+ G people.

      It also says at 200 k years ago there were about 200 k humans. If they gave birth to 10x as many kids as an affluent country today, that would be 40 k people born each year.

      If we pretend that was stable from 300 k years ago to 50 k years ago that's 4 G people every 100 k years, so that's the difference if you move between 100 k years ago, 200 k years ago etc as the cutoff. Speciation is said to have been 100 k – 300 k years ago.

      I believe at some point there was a bottleneck when humans almost went extinct and were down to 2 k people, so the handwaving above should be a high estimate.

      In conversation Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 11:04:33 JST permalink

      Attachments

      1. No result found on File_thumbnail lookup.
        people.It
      2. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: upload.wikimedia.org
        Estimation
        Estimation (or estimating) is the process of finding an estimate or approximation, which is a value that is usable for some purpose even if input data may be incomplete, uncertain, or unstable. The value is nonetheless usable because it is derived from the best information available. Typically, estimation involves "using the value of a statistic derived from a sample to estimate the value of a corresponding population parameter". The sample provides information that can be projected, through various formal or informal processes, to determine a range most likely to describe the missing information. An estimate that turns out to be incorrect will be an overestimate if the estimate exceeds the actual result and an underestimate if the estimate falls short of the actual result. How estimation is done Estimation is often done by sampling, which is counting a small number of examples something, and projecting that number onto a larger population. An example of estimation would be...
    • Embed this notice
      Esslar2 (flyhigh@universeodon.com)'s status on Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 11:04:34 JST Esslar2 Esslar2
      in reply to

      @Sheril Oh, this is so good! I've always wondered about this, how many people have lived but the trouble is, what year, century, or millennia does h. sapiens become h. sapiens?

      In conversation Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 11:04:34 JST permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Esslar2 (flyhigh@universeodon.com)'s status on Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 16:57:48 JST Esslar2 Esslar2
      in reply to
      • clacke

      @clacke @Sheril This is very good and I will look into it further. 300k years ago seems to be a reasonable start point. I've heard about the bottleneck you bring up and will also get into this some more. I was unaware it may have been such a tiny population. Thanks!

      In conversation Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 16:57:48 JST permalink
      clacke likes this.
    • Embed this notice
      clacke (clacke@libranet.de)'s status on Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 16:57:48 JST clacke clacke
      in reply to
      • Royalish
      @Royalish @Sheril six feet underground, decomposing after a while, or burnt, or if the family didn't have burial traditions, left for the predators and vultures?
      In conversation Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 16:57:48 JST permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Royalish (royalish@mastodon.social)'s status on Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 16:57:51 JST Royalish Royalish
      in reply to

      @Sheril I don't want to be morbid, but where did all the bodies go?

      In conversation Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 16:57:51 JST permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Jonathan Hill (jonathancr@sunny.garden)'s status on Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 22:42:26 JST Jonathan Hill Jonathan Hill
      in reply to

      @Sheril The accompanying article says that they’re only taking Homo sapiens into account, and beginning 200,000 years ago. But H. sapiens aren’t the only human species.

      In conversation Sunday, 16-Jul-2023 22:42:26 JST permalink
      clacke likes this.
    • Embed this notice
      Peter Principle (jobsboils@mstdn.social)'s status on Thursday, 27-Jul-2023 13:12:05 JST Peter Principle Peter Principle
      in reply to

      @Sheril "As sands through the hourglass, so too, are the days of our lives..."

      In conversation Thursday, 27-Jul-2023 13:12:05 JST permalink
      clacke likes this.

Feeds

  • Activity Streams
  • RSS 2.0
  • Atom
  • Help
  • About
  • FAQ
  • TOS
  • Privacy
  • Source
  • Version
  • Contact

GNU social JP is a social network, courtesy of GNU social JP管理人. It runs on GNU social, version 2.0.2-dev, available under the GNU Affero General Public License.

Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 All GNU social JP content and data are available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 license.