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   Quinn Norton (quinn@social.circl.lu)'s status on Friday, 03-Feb-2023 06:12:39 JST Quinn Norton

   Sure, neat, whatever, call me back when your AI can predict weather accurately and we'll talk.

   If the AI singularity can't do more than a week out, we ain't there, kids. Don't fret.

   • Embed this notice
     pettter (pettter@mastodon.acc.umu.se)'s status on Friday, 03-Feb-2023 06:12:33 JST pettter

     in reply to

     • Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦
     • Smári McCarthy
     • Walter van Holst

     @smari @quinn @whvholst @rysiek I saw something the other day about using NN stuff for improving rain forecasts actually. Basically, combine the large (1km square) predicted atmosheric cells with a much more detailed topographic map and detailed information about historic precipitation and basically do upscaling stuff.

   • Embed this notice
     Smári McCarthy (smari@mastodon.social)'s status on Friday, 03-Feb-2023 06:12:34 JST Smári McCarthy

     in reply to

     • Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦
     • Walter van Holst

     @quinn @whvholst @rysiek weather forecast models had their last major sea change (groan) around 1996, and have since been largely stuck at 50% skill 3 days out. There is so much room for improvement.

   • Embed this notice
     Quinn Norton (quinn@social.circl.lu)'s status on Friday, 03-Feb-2023 06:12:35 JST Quinn Norton

     in reply to

     • Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦
     • Smári McCarthy
     • Walter van Holst

     @whvholst @rysiek @smari that's not the goal post, specificity is

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     Walter van Holst (whvholst@eupolicy.social)'s status on Friday, 03-Feb-2023 06:12:36 JST Walter van Holst

     in reply to

     • Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦
     • Smári McCarthy

     @quinn @rysiek @smari Shall we shift the goalposts to at least three weeks out?

   • Embed this notice
     Quinn Norton (quinn@social.circl.lu)'s status on Friday, 03-Feb-2023 06:12:37 JST Quinn Norton

     in reply to

     • Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦
     • Smári McCarthy

     @rysiek @smari it's kind of a trick question... ?

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     Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦 (rysiek@mstdn.social)'s status on Friday, 03-Feb-2023 06:12:38 JST Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦

     in reply to

     • Smári McCarthy

     @quinn calling @smari ?

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     pettter (pettter@mastodon.acc.umu.se)'s status on Friday, 03-Feb-2023 06:13:29 JST pettter

     in reply to

     • Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦
     • Smári McCarthy
     • Walter van Holst

     @smari @quinn @whvholst @rysiek To be clear, this was about higher resolution precipitation prediction (in time and space), not necessarily _further out_ in time.