"In a downturn, most companies don’t fail because they lack opportunity - they fail because they can’t get out of their own way." - Futurist Jim Carroll
Leaders build. Managers cut. That much is known. What is also known is that if you want to grow during a downturn, now is the time to move, not wait.
But let’s be honest. You can’t build what’s next if you’re still stuck in what’s holding you back.
That’s what this post is about.
Before you get into a growth mindset in a downturn - which seems like a contradiction - you have to face the barriers that will hold you back. And here's what I know from the advising leadership team during every major downturn since 2001: recessions don’t just expose economic volatility. They expose internal vulnerability.
What are those vulnerabilities? Business models that no longer fit. Teams that are afraid to act. Cultures allergic to risk. Short-term thinking that kills long-term opportunity. Things like that. Over time, I've seen a clear pattern emerge in the way organizations respond to volatility - there are two kinds of companies:
- those who got stuck in their economic rut, too paralyzed to move
- and those who became fast, focused, and fearless innovation leaders
Both types were in the same economy - but only one type made it to the other side stronger.
So what separates them? It’s not industry. Not funding. Not even market conditions. It’s this: the ability to confront what’s really holding them back. Because the reality is big disruption happens during big uncertainty, but most companies miss it, because they’re too focused on defending the past instead of designing the future.
So ask yourself:
What’s holding you back right now?
What decisions are you avoiding?
What assumptions or habits are you still clinging to?
Because before you can talk about growth strategy…before you can reimagine business models…before you can disrupt...you need to confront what’s holding you back.
This isn’t about what’s happening around you.
It’s about what’s happening inside your organization.
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Futurist Jim Carroll believes that this current moment in time is as much an innovation story as it is a recession story. Act accordingly.
**#Barriers** **#Growth** **#Leadership** **#Mindset** **#Risk** **#Innovation** **#Velocity** **#Opportunity** **#Adaptation** **#Momentum**
Another wriggle I strike frequently is that although the current MOLE Training tech can't produce intelligence yet, future versions will. Which is equivalent to saying that although current fusion energy tech can't produce cold fusion, future versions obviously can. Nope.
The existence of one body of tech that didn't used to exist, with hard limitations, doesn't prove that tech without those limitations will automatically come into existence in the future.
So much magical thinking.
(2/2)
Zuzana Licko’s fonts were some the first non-system fonts I ever used. They were useful and cool. They made my design look good.
Rudy VanderLans’ writing was some of the first design writing I ever read. It was insightful and approachable. It made me feel like I was part of the future.
So you can imagine a combo of nerves and thrill when I was asked to write the preface for this book. Still seems unreal.
1,264 pages, 40 of the best Emigre specimens, artfully reprinted: https://letterformarchive.org/shop/emigre-fonts/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=Emigre+Type+Specimens
I wanted to share a screenshot of a dangerous post offline, for reasons.
However, because I'd already suspended the instance which was sending hate my way, I can no longer see the post which caused me to suspend them in the first place. So now, I guess I have to take screenshots of *everything vile that comes my way* in case this happens in the future.
So yeah, go Mastodon I guess- thanks for forcing me to collect my own hate messages?
Which makes me wonder… what just happened?
We already had cool toys in the 90s and early 00s, but they were forgotten. As if they never existed in the first place.
And mid-late 2010s, similar tech started to (re)-appear and were called “revolutionary” and “new” and “first” and “will change the world”. But nothing came out of those 2010 versions, subpar if compared to the 90s-00s versions.
I guess, when something is too early for its time, we are very quick in forgetting they ever existed, collective amnesia?
Or, was the world led to believe those cool toys “can't possibly exist that time”? Well… they did exist. And this is why, for some (or many) of us, we are not as excited whenever we see someone claim “new”, “first”, “revolutionary”, or “will change the world”, because we've seen it, we've played it, and we drooled, I mean, dreamed of a future.
So, yeah, kids, as our grandparents have told our generation, “there's nothing new under the sun”. Don't tell us we didn't have what you have today. :P
PS
Don't forget Google Glass, it was too early for its time, but it looks like it's going to experience what 90s VR arcade games, VRML worlds, and gamervertising, experienced… forgotten.
Everyone knows that Trump will try to overturn the election if he loses.
What some don't realize is that he will also try to subvert the results if he wins.
Why? Because he will lose the popular vote by many millions. The majority of Americans don't want Trump and don't want a MAGA future.
So if he wins, he will immediately look to delegitimate the results.
Democratic voters must make the reality crystal clear. That's why turnout and consolidating the blue vote matter.
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