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   Andy McGlothin ☮ (amcglothin@infosec.exchange)'s status on Monday, 02-Jan-2023 03:31:14 JST Andy McGlothin ☮

   in reply to

   @darnell @neroden @ZeroCovidColin If you zoom in on the data a little, you can see that since Thanksgiving the number of hospitalized has continued to rise and will most likely continue to rise for at least 2 more weeks. And given that the new variant XBB.1.5 that is now becoming prevalent in the US is far more immune evasive that number may continue to rise for months longer.

   As far as deaths are concerned, using the 7-day rolling average, they had fallen to about 300 per day just before Thanksgiving but shot back up to over 400 per day for a couple weeks after the holiday. This will probably be the trend for Christmas and New Years. 2-3 weeks of 400+ deaths per day.

   We are at the endemic stage of this disease. We just have to accept that it isn't going away. We may have to accept around 100,000 deaths per year from COVID-19 as normal.