SEATS ------ LPC 191±4 CPC 132±4 BQ 19±2 NDP 1±1 GPC 0±1 PPC 0±1

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   Joseph Szymborski :qcca: (jszym@cosocial.ca)'s status on Tuesday, 29-Apr-2025 09:03:33 JST Joseph Szymborski :qcca:

   I made a horribly hackey and quick election forecast model last night for #elxn45 and this is what I came up with.

   It doesn't take into account demographic or candidate adjustments, and it's almost certainly underestimating NDP and GPC seats, but it backtests well 😅

   I'll post some insights I've found over the course of the night, as well as updated projections as ridings get called.

   Mute the thread or the #jszym_elxn45 hashtag to shut me up.

   #canada #cdnpoli