Chart: The Conservatives' 2019 victory was an artificial high. Since then they've been in freefall. GB voting intentions (%) Shows gradual climb in polling from 2010-2019 (from 33-37%) and a rapid decline from 2020 (for 48% vote share in 2019 election to current polling just above 20%) [aggregate of polls]

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   Emeritus Prof Christopher May (chrismayla6@zirk.us)'s status on Saturday, 08-Jun-2024 16:33:11 JST Emeritus Prof Christopher May

   Good morning, lets start the day with some polling data (and why not?)

   While (despite everything) the Tories' opinion poll results were steadily climbing up until the 2019, since then there's been a major (almost unprecedented) decline.

   In 2019 John Burb-Murdoch (FT) surmises, the Tories benefitted from support for Brexit & a media-stoked frenzy against Jeremy Corbyn. Now those (now clearly fleeting) factors are absent there are few reasons to support the Tories.

   #Election2024
   #politics