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   phiofx (phiofx@hachyderm.io)'s status on Monday, 05-Feb-2024 09:25:16 JST phiofx

   in reply to

   @kaffando

   the phenomenon is consistent also with ice cover extremes https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/climate/antarctic-sea-ice-record-low.html

   a question in my mind is whether this outlier is of a non-normal nature, a jump to a new regime of sorts. that would be the bad scenario, suggesting chaotic dynamics. the "good" (*) scenario would be that such volatility happens, but its just not visible in the 40 yr timeseries.

   (*) "Good" only in the sense that our impact would be a slower trend, more time to try mitigate something

   @b_aichner