Notices by sinski (aosinski@qoto.org)

@freemo there's a good argument to be made that betting markets are not really that great. Crypto markets suffer from low liquidity, but I´d say that for this current election cycle there's too much dumb money and markets can definitely have ideological skew.

For a real ¨market¨ you´d likely need a long-term audience with established information-gathering techniques, not one-timers whose methodology is even worse than most pollsters who will admit they have less information than ever.

@freemo where do you find those bets?