Notices by Eric's Risk Assessment (ericcarroll@zeroes.ca)

Had to do a lawyer face to face today.

First time back to a business office without any precautions running since March 13, 2020.

I am in a #P100 #elastomeric GVS Elipse

Everyone else walking around, eating, drinking, working, like it's 2019.

My lawyer tells me how cautious & risk adverse she is so she can't answer some points on the spot.

She says this with no irony at all, as she & her coworkers are busy rawdogging the inside air, just after the second largest peak in wastewater signal since the pandemic started.

In 4 years of surreal moments, this was right up there towards the peak of Mt. Surreal.

#postcardsFromTheEdge #RiskManagement #covidIsNotOver #DontSayCovid

When you are heading out to meet up with people for the holidays, please take a minute to stop, think & remember the dice you are rolling.

#LongCOVID: major findings, mechanisms and recommendations

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41579-022-00846-2

Woman walks into our local caterer in Cabbagetown. Announces "my dinner is ruined. Everyone in my family has COVID."

With no respirator on.

🤦🤷

#CovidIsNotOver #WearARespirator #CovidIsAirborne

In three years and over 3,000 papers, just once I would like to read a credible paper about #SARSCoV2 that is not a risk and outcomes horror show.

Just once.

#SARS2 #COVID19

I used to have a sail boat. One of the most important #safety rules in sailing is "don't sail on a schedule".

What this means is that if you have a destination & a deadline, you will override safety signals (like weather) & travel in unsafe conditions due to deadline pressure. This is how serious accidents happen while sailing.

Planning for sailing puts an emphasis on having a checklist that includes having situational awareness of issues like boat condition, charts, & weather by explicitly checking the marine weather forecasts.

Also you have to be prepared to bail on your destination & schedule if the safety signals change. You have to know where your closest port is to seek shelter if a storm arises.

It occurred to me that the #airbornePrecautions equivalent is "don't be task focused on a deadline".

The need to get a task done by a deadline causes you to lose situational awareness, & accept risk that you would not otherwise accept if you thought your safety plan through ahead of time.

This is exacerbated by the total lack of a danger signal in society right now. No mitigations visible. Out of sight, out of mind.

This bit me yesterday getting a vaccination from an unmasked pharmacist in a small room. I took a risk I should not have, because I lost situational awareness under the drive to get the task done. I never would have accepted that risk in my pre-thought out safety plan. But it just popped up in the middle of the task, & I let it slide because I wasn't situationally aware.

Now, ofc I was wearing #P100 #elastomeric so the risk here is relative due to #DefenceInDepth. My event was ocular exposure during high water mark for community transmission, not being maskless. But it is not a risk I would have taken in a pre-thought through safety plan.
And that's the big deal now. Every little ordinary task needs a safety plan.

It's frustrating. It's exhausting.

When it goes wrong, when the safety signals change, when you get off plan, you have to be prepared to "bail". Halt a task, walk out, cancel, reschedule. Find a safe port in the new storm.

I should have refused entry with a maskless pharmacist. Cancelled, requested accommodation & rescheduled.

This is a kind of risk "velocitization" that happens. I am getting velocitized into one-way masking even during high #community #transmission periods. Everyone else but me unmasked is the new normal.

This is how accidents happen - a bunch of little issues leading to an unwanted, unplanned outcome.

#SARS2 #sarscov2 #COVID19 #riskManagement #risk

@jik
Send them back to stats class. They did take stats, right?

COVID infection is the single riskiest "common" event.

Nothing even close.

@jik I once would have reacted strongly to the fact that a science PhD holds this view, but the never ending parade of highly credentialed risk minimizers who are totally supportive of mass infection, disease, compounding risk, long term injury and even death has utterly pounded that out of me.

@noyes @jik lol. That's a great analogy.

Study reveals how #SARSCoV2 alters mitochondria, leading to energy outages and organ failure

> An interdisciplinary #COVID19 International Research Team found that SARS-CoV-2 alters mitochondria on a genetic level, leading to widespread "energy outages" throughout the body and its major organs.

https://www.news-medical.net/news/20231031/Study-reveals-how-SARS-CoV-2-alters-mitochondria-leading-to-energy-outages-and-organ-failure.aspx

Core mitochondrial genes are down-regulated during SARS-CoV-2 infection of rodent and human hosts

https://science.org/doi/10.1126/scitranslmed.abq1533

#SARS2 #LongCOVID

Mild decrease.

#LifeExpectancy #COVID19