@sam_harris @StellaMaris @jjcouey Actually Bayesians who used the priors of failed novel vaccine trials easily predicted it. Also the number of "firsts" in this face-ass vaccine would only compound the chances of failure, not success.
@sam_harris @StellaMaris @jjcouey Actually Bayesians who used the priors of failed novel vaccine trials easily predicted it. Also the number of "firsts" in this face-ass vaccine would only compound the chances of failure, not success.
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