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2016 Trump = naively thought that Democrats could be reasoned with, not having noticed that they'd gone insane
2025 Trump = naively thinking that other countries will lose a game of chicken out of fear of harming their own economies, not having noticed that Europeans did this gleefully to spite Russia
My bet is on Canadian and European leaders caring more about spiting Trump than how the serfs suffer. What are the serfs going to do, vote the leaders out?