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The states will win because it's in the fucking constitution. The explicitly defines citizenship in the 14th amendment. The constitution does allow for congress to have control over the naturalization process (Article I, Section 8, Clause 4), but that's congress not the executive.

People like the girl in this video can make what every arguments they want. It doesn't change the fact that if you want naturalization changed in the US, it requires a fucking constitutional amendment, ratified by congress and the states. Orange Man can't wave his hand and magically make it so without the courts fighting back to preserve the law. Just like Biden.