The law of regression to the tail: How to survive Covid-19(#LongCovid),#BirdFlu #H5N1, the #ClimateCrisis, and other #Disasters
Prof. #BentFlyvbjerg: "Instead, decision makers will want to do two things: (a) "cut the tail," to reduce risk by mitigation, and (b) practice the precautionary principle, i.e., avoid tail risk altogether by taking a cautious approach."