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This is a silly thumbnail-sized model, and it’s full of all kinds of holes.

Maybe devs straight-up waste 3 hours a day, so then payoff is Y < 1.25 instead! Maybe the effects are complex and nonlinear! Maybe this whole quantification effort is doomed!

Don’t take my math too seriously. I’m not actually setting up a useful predictive model here; I’m making a point.

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