Lots of people wildly underestimating how desperate the pro-genocide, anti-Iran, and save-Netanyahu factions (yes, yes, many of the same people!) will be to get an irreversible hot-war going in time for the US election.
The good news is thare are significant impediments - notably IDF leadership's reluctance to take on Hezbollah and IRGC, and IRGC's reluctance to take on the West. The bad news is it's not at all clear those will be enough.
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/16/europe/israel-uk-france-iran-retaliation-intl-latam/index.html