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    Rod Hilton (rodhilton@mastodon.social)'s status on Friday, 09-Aug-2024 14:43:58 JSTRod HiltonRod Hilton
    in reply to

    For the exact reason that so many democrats feel like "Florida is too red to flip", Republicans who feel like Florida is a safe red may feel safe voting for RFK.

    If he pulls ~6% of the vote and Florida has another 77% turnout, that's 6% of 10,341,570, which is 620,494 RFK votes.

    If that split is 60% Trump voters and 40% Harris voters, that means 372,296 votes Trump doesn't get.

    Trump won the state in 2020 by 371,686 votes.

    In conversationabout 4 months ago from mastodon.socialpermalink
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