Embed Notice

@academicchatter

“Time intervals of model solutions are often too widely spaced for the predictions being attempted. For example, a model solved annually to arrive at new annual values of economic variables would, if anything, be useful in predicting future trends over a five-year period but not year-to-year variations. As a rough rule-of-thumb, one would want solutions spaced closely enough to define a smooth curve through the fluctuations in which we are interested.”

Forrester 2003, p. 334.