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@Vincarsi

you’re forgetting reality.

I am not, you are just making assumptions about my priotities.

Do you honestly think that there’s any timeline where one of those two will not be the winner of this election?

Its statistically unlikely to happen this election, but possible. The USa has switched away from one of the two major parties to allow a new party take over as a dominate party 8 times in history (rarely switching back after). In all cases that change happened over the course of one election with the under dog have 1 or 2 % the previous year, and taking over a majority by the next election.

So while it is fairly rare historically we have enough evidence to know its possible, and that when it does happen it can not be predicted from the results the previous year, in that, it is never a gradual transition and always a sudden one (this is an effect due to FPTP voting).

If you do the math the historic statistical chance of a third-party taking over as a main party in a single election is ~7%

If yes, how do you propose to make that happen?

7% is greater than 0, so the answer is, yes, of course its possible, its happened 8 times already, so we know for a fact it is possible. It simply is statistically unlikely.

It happens on its own, usually when the two major parties have such a huge disconnect with the public morality that the shift occurs. Which I would say this year stands a higher chance than most of that happening naturally.

That said the best way you can bring it about would be to vote third-party even if you know you might loose the vote that year. By bolstering the numbers it helps to counter the two-party myth your selling and will encourage people to consider third-party more seriously in the future. So the best thing you can do to get this result is vote third party.

Its important to note that elections cant be won without majority support. When enough people split between enough parties (which is rare) you dont get a case where “the other guy wins” you can actually get a case where none of them win, which can also drive third-party support long term should such a thing come to pass again.

If no, why are you basing your engagement in a real system on a fantasy where your individual moral purity actually matters?

Reducing it to a yes or no answer is silly… but if you must then as we covered the chance is greater than 0, we have had proof of it happening 8 times historically so we know for a fact it is possible. It is just unlikely.