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    Sir² Morgan (mh@noagendasocial.com)'s status on Wednesday, 27-Sep-2023 07:22:27 JSTSir² MorganSir² Morgan
    • CrimeaRiver

    @CrimeaRiver its a fairly obscure reference
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias

    In conversationWednesday, 27-Sep-2023 07:22:27 JST from noagendasocial.compermalink

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      Survivorship bias
      Survivorship bias or survival bias is the logical error of concentrating on entities that passed a selection process while overlooking those that did not. This can lead to incorrect conclusions because of incomplete data. Survivorship bias is a form of selection bias that can lead to overly optimistic beliefs because multiple failures are overlooked, such as when companies that no longer exist are excluded from analyses of financial performance. It can also lead to the false belief that the successes in a group have some special property, rather than just coincidence as in correlation "proves" causality. Another kind of survivorship bias would involve thinking that an incident was not all that dangerous because the only people who were involved in the incident who can speak about it are those who survived it. Even if one knew that some people are dead, they would not have their voice to add to the conversation, leading to bias in the conversation. As a general experimental flaw The parapsychology researcher Joseph Banks Rhine believed he had identified the few individuals from hundreds...
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