"Not the odds, but the stakes."
That's my shorthand for the organizing principle we most need in 2024 election coverage. Not who has what chances of winning, but the consequences for our democracy— given what's possible in this election. Not the odds, but the stakes.
Here is an example of stakes commentary. Its analysis is both plausible and terrifying.
https://newrepublic.com/article/174535/people-arent-facing-horrors-new-trump-term-bring