An Erdoğan victory in the first round is highly unlikely. Either there will be a second round or the opposition candidate #Kılıçdaroğlu will win in the first round. There are currently three candidates and if no candidate obtains more than 50% of the votes cast, there will be a second round in two week. The third candidate #Oğan is a far-right nationalist and his votes can go to #Erdoğan in the second round, making things more difficult for Kılıçdaroğlu. #TurkeyElections #Turkey