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@phil_stevens A nationalist-imperialist like Trump who has normalized trade war tactics can – no doubt, some weeks before the midterm elections – offer to step in and force the reduction of energy exports, thus lowering US domestic prices. He can "save" us from the problem he created.

They are playing a risky game, and it could be a massive loss for them. But the US and Russia will not feel the worst of the price shocks (by a large margin).... those shocks are directed elsewhere.