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<blockquote style="position: relative; padding-left: 55px;"><section><a href="https://mstdn.io/users/wolf480pl/statuses/116258100889371003">Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 20-Mar-2026 07:30:21 JST</a><a href="https://mstdn.io/@wolf480pl" title="wolf480pl@mstdn.io"><img src="https://gnusocial.jp/avatar/6007-48-20260301110552.webp" width="48" height="48" alt="Wolf480pl" style="position: absolute; left: 0; top: 0;">Wolf480pl</a><div><a href="https://mstdn.io/@wolf480pl/116258088172989769" rel="in-reply-to">in reply to</a><ul><li></ul></div></section><article><p><a href="https://eupolicy.social/@jmaris">@jmaris</a> <br>&gt; the moment Russia wins or achieves an unjust peace, their next consideration will be [...] breaking that peace to conquer more of Ukraine</p><p>Ukraine will do its best to not agree on a peace deal that would allow Russia to do that.</p><p>In order to pull that off, Russia would need a exceptional information asymmetry, or pressure on Ukraine from the West greater than Trump's last attempt.</p><p>2/</p></article><footer><a rel="bookmark" href="https://gnusocial.jp/conversation/6250794#notice-12318316">In conversation</a><time datetime="2026-03-20T07:30:21+09:00" title="Friday, 20-Mar-2026 07:30:21 JST">about 4 months ago</time> <span>from <span><a href="https://mstdn.io/@wolf480pl/116258100889371003" rel="external" title="Sent from mstdn.io via ActivityPub">mstdn.io</a></span></span><a href="https://mstdn.io/@wolf480pl/116258100889371003">permalink</a><h4>Attachments</h4><ol><li><label><a rel="external" href="https://gnusocial.jp/attachment/843370">Untitled attachment</a></label><br></li></ol></footer></blockquote>

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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 20-Mar-2026 07:30:21 JSTWolf480pl
in reply to
- Jordan Maris 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 #NAFO
@jmaris
> the moment Russia wins or achieves an unjust peace, their next consideration will be [...] breaking that peace to conquer more of Ukraine
Ukraine will do its best to not agree on a peace deal that would allow Russia to do that.
In order to pull that off, Russia would need a exceptional information asymmetry, or pressure on Ukraine from the West greater than Trump's last attempt.
2/
In conversationabout 4 months ago from mstdn.iopermalink
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