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    Sean Kleefeld (skleefeld@mastodon.social)'s status on Tuesday, 09-Sep-2025 13:30:55 JSTSean KleefeldSean Kleefeld

    I'll point out -- because news media are PHENOMENALLY bad at mentioning this -- that recessions can only be declared retroactively BY DEFINITION. Meaning that when one is officially declared, you've already been in it for at least six months.

    I'd bet we're already in one right now.

    https://www.newsweek.com/recession-probability-surges-93-ubs-2125230

    In conversationabout a year ago from mastodon.socialpermalink
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