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   GhostOnTheHalfShell (ghostonthehalfshell@masto.ai)'s status on Monday, 20-Apr-2026 22:31:03 JST GhostOnTheHalfShell

   13 min

   Not many people have noticed that China has not inserted itself into the conflict in the Middle East. I think this is a no small part because they have built up such substantial reserves both in rice and will as well as having substantial coal reserves, I’m not certain about natural gas, but they can coast for some amount of time.

   Because they are a substantial producer of fertilizers and a lot of other basic industrial ingredients, they are in a good position

   https://youtu.be/yI2LMGbag1A

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Monday, 20-Apr-2026 22:31:02 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @GhostOnTheHalfShell

     #ChinaPol
     #HPsCommentary
     (1/2)

     Correct. I've been watching this
     strategic built-up for several years. It is self-evident that they have been doing so for a disconcerting reason, as all stockpiling leads to additional, "unnecessary" inventory costs. They might not have sent the #US-#Israeli-#Iran #Gulfwar3 coming, but the #Geostratic position they've manoevered themselves Info an excellent strategic position
     If I had to guess, it is in preparation for the...

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Monday, 20-Apr-2026 22:36:57 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @GhostOnTheHalfShell

     #ChinaPol
     #HPsCommentary
     (2/n)

     ...to-be-expectedretaliatory "global sanctions" in the wake of a #Taiwan 🇹🇼 invasion.#Xi and his generals must have been laughing their asses of due to all the RL lessons learned from the invasions of 🇺🇦 by 🇷🇺 and #Gaza by 🇮🇱, and
     the maniacal attack of 🇮🇷 by 🇮🇱 and the 🇺🇸.--Better than any #Wargames on a supercomputer.

     The only real downside they have from this is that if the...

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     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Monday, 20-Apr-2026 22:41:16 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @GhostOnTheHalfShell

     #ChinaPol
     #HPsCommentary
     (3/n)

     ...#GulfWar3 drags on for am extended period of time, they might have to replenish these strategic reserves, before they can launch 🚀 the attack, possibly pushing that armed conflict into the next decade...
     Which might even constitute yet another advantage to them, as their military shipbuilding, outstripping any other nations, will lead to yet another "century when the #Chinese navy ruled the seas."

     I will go even one step further:...

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     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Monday, 20-Apr-2026 22:43:56 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @GhostOnTheHalfShell

     #ChinaPol
     #HPsCommentary
     (5/5)

     ...If #Xi does *not* bide his time and waits until then, it will only be him to blame, because in contrast two the two other authoritarian superpower leaders, ge is *not* a gerontocrat and *can* wait.--As for the other two, their days are very much numbered. Death cannot (yet?) be cheated.

     //

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Monday, 20-Apr-2026 22:47:15 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @GhostOnTheHalfShell

     #ChinaPol
     #HPsCommentary
     (4/4)

     ...If #Xi does *not* bide his time and waits until then, it will only be him to blame, because in contrast two the two other authoritarian superpower leaders, ge is *not* a gerontocrat and *can* wait.--As for the other two, their days are very much numbered. Death cannot (yet?) be cheated.

     //

     1)
     https://global.oup.com/academic/product/when-china-ruled-the-seas-9780195112078?cc=de&lang=en&