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   Chris Trottier (atomicpoet@atomicpoet.org)'s status on Tuesday, 25-Nov-2025 01:38:23 JST Chris Trottier

   People ask why I work in finance.

   Most of the time, it’s boring. Truly boring. Markets drift. People get in their feels. Nothing happens except sentiment swinging from euphoria to despair and back again.

   But when it isn’t boring? It’s the greatest show on Earth.

   We just spent two straight weeks screaming about an AI bubble. Every headline was doom. Every pundit was prophesying collapse. You’d think Western civilization was getting priced for liquidation.

   Meanwhile, my position never changed: whether or not we’re in a bubble, sentiment didn’t match the fundamentals. On a macro level, the Fear & Greed Index was sitting at extreme fear. Volatility was spiking. Tech sold off hard. But at the company level? The numbers weren’t cracking. Not at Microsoft. Not at Google. And certainly not at Nvidia.

   For saying that, I got called an apologist more than once. As if noticing a disconnect between emotion and data is somehow ideological. It isn’t. It’s my job. I don’t declare boom or gloom. I look for when the narrative and the numbers stop lining up.

   And sure enough—here we are. Nvidia beats expectations again. EPS $1.30 vs $1.26. Revenue $57B vs $55.2B expected. Data center revenue alone at $51B versus the $49B consensus. Then they guide Q4 revenue to $65B when Wall Street was bracing for $62B.

   That’s not a miss. That’s a statement.

   I don’t know where the market goes next. Nobody does. But I can tell you this much: the world didn’t end. Western civilization continues. The apocalypse has been postponed.

   • Embed this notice
     Chris Trottier (atomicpoet@atomicpoet.org)'s status on Sunday, 07-Dec-2025 06:43:32 JST Chris Trottier

     in reply to

     • J.R. Cruciani

     @jrcruciani Quantum computing is still way too early in its tech hype cycle. A lot of people are already banging the drum on it, but I haven’t seen a clear path for how it changes people’s lives in real, practical ways yet. It’s fascinating science, but not something I spend much time modeling because we’re nowhere near meaningful deployment.

   • Embed this notice
     J.R. Cruciani (jrcruciani@masto.impermanente.es)'s status on Sunday, 07-Dec-2025 06:43:43 JST J.R. Cruciani

     in reply to

     @atomicpoet what's your take on quantum?
     I realize this is a question that has a complex answer, but maybe you have an opinion ready to share ✌️

     Tim Chambers repeated this.