Also, if (as Satya Nadela claims in public) 30% of Microsoft's software is LLM-generated, then we can expect the next couple of generations of Windows and Microsoft Office to be unelievably bad. Not just enshittified for advertising and profit: but full of really idiotic security holes and bugs inserted by LLMs that were trained on their own toxic efflux by "developers" too de-skilled to understand what they were doing.
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Charlie Stross (cstross@wandering.shop)'s status on Saturday, 03-May-2025 22:36:52 JST Charlie Stross
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Charlie Stross (cstross@wandering.shop)'s status on Saturday, 03-May-2025 22:36:53 JST Charlie Stross
My take:
The AI scam is a bubble. It's going to burst, and 99% of the "value" in it will evaporate. (There will be some utility in the 1%.)
There will then be demand for skilled human employees … who will be few, because unused skills atrophy and there's a crimp in the training pipeline.
Wages for those who can do stuff will spiral.
But there'll be a net productivity decline and a recession.
So: the long-term legacy of the AI bubble will be stagflation.
https://toot.cafe/@baldur/114443358373790490Børge repeated this.
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