Francis 🏴☠️ Gulotta
CEOs “any advancement in efficiency will reduce the need for jobs”
I’ve never seen so many of my friends out of work on the promise of efficiency. I’ve never seen so many forced to work on fulfilling that promise. I’ve never seen so many people out of work.
The jobs are in “ai” and they are not good jobs, they are not stable jobs, they don’t pay enough money, they pay with “promise”.
🧵
Francis 🏴☠️ Gulotta
When this bubble bursts, and the fraction of software that was created during it that remains useful will need stabilization. At some point the infrastructure that hasn’t been maintained will need rebuilding. Many engineers will be hired back again. But the people with the skills will be fewer and older.
Francis 🏴☠️ Gulotta
We have CEOs telling junior developers to not bother learning how to code, try to vibe code. That’s scary! You don’t learn much with vibe coding. Learning is the best part of the job!
I tell my junior engineers to not outsource their learning. AI can’t do the modeling, the architecture, the understanding. Can it do boilerplate? Sorta! But the job isn’t writing boiler plate.
We knew this way back with the no silver bullets essay on incidental vs necessary complexity.
Francis 🏴☠️ Gulotta
I’m tagging these posts so people who filter them out or subscribe can see them or not. I’m also calling LLMs AI because we’ve publicly lost that distinction but I’m honestly referring to this new product or feature category rather than a particular technology.
Francis 🏴☠️ Gulotta
When you’re young or new, every technology is new, it’s hard to see the difference. You play along with wonder instead of fear, you feel valued, you haven’t seen the cycle before.
Francis 🏴☠️ Gulotta
My friends who have spent a lifetime learning how to make stable change on critical systems will be forced to adapt to help stabilize the tools that lost them their jobs.
Some of them will find a way through, some of them will join the Cobal programmers I have met in other industries throughout the world.
They have told me they were let go because they were getting old, or didn’t want to change. I wonder if it was a similar hype cycle that I was too new or young to see.
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