In which I consider the announcements from Mastodon and Bluesky-adjacent “Free Our Feeds”, both surfacing on the 13th, concerning fundraising and governance measures for the worlds of ActivityPub and ATProto: https://www.tbray.org/ongoing/When/202x/2025/01/14/Protocol-Churn
Overall a good post, but I still think that "overall AP servers are pretty cheap to operate" is only true if we take the work of admins for granted.
At the end of the day, the overwhelming majority of people are not interested in paying $50, $30, and not even $10 per year to have an account at a server.
So AP only has a shot of becoming really mainstream if one of the following happens:
- we move *away* from servers, and start building client-first applications which are "powered by AP" and the servers are much more lightweight (responsible only for routing messages to the right inboxes)
- different governance models come up where operating costs are hidden from users: perhaps your phone company gives you an AP account with your plan, or your employer/university/school...
@timbray This is a great analysis, and roughly reflects my own sentiments. At the SWF, we're lending moral support to Free Our Feeds, because we want the ATProto space to be more open and participative than it is now. But we're putting our eggs in the Fediverse basket, because it seems like the better long term bet.
- Regardless of their for-profit/not-for-profit status: I'm not a fan of Eugen's / Mastodon's "centralized planning" approach and I really don't like how everything they do seems to be in *reaction* to what "evil capitalists" are doing. It's never going to hit mainstream if they keep looking at the rear view mirror.