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    Adrian Segar (asegar@mastodon.social)'s status on Thursday, 19-Dec-2024 07:09:05 JST Adrian Segar Adrian Segar

    "We projected mortality for 2024 to include two waves of Covid-19, both lower than 2023, and all other mortality to be an improvement on 2023.

    In the year to August 2024, rather than lower levels of mortality than in 2023, Covid-19 has led to about the same level of deaths as 2023 in aggregate, with the winter wave being significantly worse than projected, lasting longer and peaking at higher levels of deaths than predicted."

    https://www.actuaries.digital/2024/12/17/mortality-in-first-eight-months-of-2024-2-higher-than-predicted/

    #CovidIsNotOver #Covid #WearAMask

    In conversation about 6 months ago from mastodon.social permalink

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      Mortality in First Eight Months of 2024 2% Higher Than Predicted - Actuaries Digital
      from Mortality Working Group
      In their latest article, the Mortality Working Group shares excess mortality analysis for the first eight months of 2024. In summary For the first eight months of 2024, against a baseline that includes anticipated COVID-19 deaths: total mortality was 2% higher than predicted; COVID-19 mortality was 70% higher than predicted; Non-COVID respiratory mortality was 8% […]
    • Embed this notice
      🗦 𝙴𝚞𝚋𝚒𝚎 𝙳𝚛𝚎𝚠 🗧(🦣) (eubiedrew@spore.social)'s status on Thursday, 19-Dec-2024 07:09:05 JST 🗦 𝙴𝚞𝚋𝚒𝚎 𝙳𝚛𝚎𝚠 🗧(🦣) 🗦 𝙴𝚞𝚋𝚒𝚎 𝙳𝚛𝚎𝚠 🗧(🦣)
      in reply to

      @ASegar

      Has the virus moved into novel mutation territory? Or is it just that behavior is more lax?

      In conversation about 6 months ago permalink

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