@youronly.one not an expert, but * rebels are a bunch of different things, but current push was by Hayat Tahrir al Sham, which is an islamic militia * they are not friends with the kurds on ideological and political (I.e. Turkey supports them) * yeah * I would not bet on it. If we're lucky we may get some limited autonomy * IS has been mostly crashed * less than before * yes, Israel has just occupied some new areas * no, there's going to be a transfer of power from old to new
@riffraff Wow. I like their winner-loser assessment, especially outlining the who's who in the region's geopolitics.
It's indeed hard to predict where this will lead to. The concerns of the other countries in region are truly justified. So many possible new futures (and new conflicts as well).