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Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:12 JST Nemo_bis 🌈

What the #USA learnt from 40+ years of #war in #Afghanistan: let's replicate the experiment on the eastern border of the EU.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/08/us/politics/us-sanctions-russia-ukraine.html
#nt
In conversation about 3 days ago from mamot.fr permalink
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1. To underscore the potential pain for Russia, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Mark A. Milley, spoke with his Russian counterpart two weeks ago and delivered a stark message: Yes, he said, you could invade Ukraine and probably roll over the Ukrainian military, which stands little chance of repelling a far larger, better armed Russian force. But the swift victory would be followed, General Milley told Gen. Valery Gerasimov, by a bloody insurgency, similar to the one that led to the Soviet retreat from Afghanistan more than three decades ago, according to officials familiar with the discussion. General Milley did not detail to General Gerasimov the planning underway in Washington to support an insurgency, a so-called “porcupine strategy” to make invading Ukraine hard for the Russians to swallow. That includes the advance positioning of arms for Ukrainian insurgents, probably including Stinger antiaircraft missiles, that could be used against Russian forces.
  https://static.mamot.fr/media_attachments/files/107/591/590/819/176/623/original/0f980080025de119.png
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:04 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  Compare and contrast.
  "peaceful entry of coalition forces to eliminate weapons" [1]
  "military operations to disarm" [2]
  "special military operation [...] to demilitarise" [3]
  #war #Ukraine #Iraq
  [1] https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2003/03/20030317-7.html
  [2] https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2003/03/20030319-17.html
  [3] http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/67843
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  1. No result found on File_thumbnail lookup.
    
    President Says Saddam Hussein Must Leave Iraq Within 48 Hours
    
    President Bush Monday said,"The United Nations Security Council has not lived up to its responsibilities, so we will rise to ours."
  2. No result found on File_thumbnail lookup.
    
    President Bush Addresses the Nation
    
    In an address to the nation Wednesday night, President Bush said, "My fellow citizens, at this hour, American and coalition forces are in the early stages of military operations to disarm Iraq, to free its people and to defend the world from grave danger."
  3. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: static.kremlin.ru
    
    Address by the President of the Russian Federation
    
    from /about
    
    Address by the President of the Russian Federation
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:05 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  Rally 'round the ☮️ flag effect at home.
  #war #Ukraine
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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    https://static.mamot.fr/media_attachments/files/107/851/885/651/000/087/original/a44e2e52070efb2f.jpeg
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:06 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  #IMF in #Ukraine. I wonder how long until they become as popular as the troika in Greece.
  https://www.reuters.com/business/imf-starts-discussions-ukraine-next-tranche-disbursement-2022-02-23/
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:07 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  Madeleine Albright also envisions a new #Afghanistan in #Ukraine, with more military supplies from the USA.
  https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/22/us/politics/russia-biden-sanctions-ukraine.html
  #war #NATO
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  1. Such an act of aggression would almost certainly drive NATO to significantly reinforce its eastern flank and to consider permanently stationing forces in the Baltic States, Poland and Romania. (President Biden said Tuesday he was moving more troops to the Baltics.) And it would generate fierce Ukrainian armed resistance, with strong support from the West. A bipartisan effort is already underway to craft a legislative response that would include intensifying lethal aid to Ukraine. It would be far from a repeat of Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014; it would be a scenario reminiscent of the Soviet Union’s ill-fated occupation of Afghanistan in the 1980s.
    https://static.mamot.fr/media_attachments/files/107/846/012/882/234/931/original/9f74e76873239a81.png
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:08 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  «Mi-17 transport helicopters originally meant for use in #Afghanistan [are going] to #Ukraine instead.»
  https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/23/russian-ships-tanks-and-troops-on-the-move-to-ukraine-as-peace-talks-stall
  How convenient that surplus weapons find another destination so quickly after one war (ostensibly) ends.
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:09 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  First step: prepare the ground to brand as illegitimate any government opposing USA involvement. Where have I heard this before?
  https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/20/us-russia-ukraine-government-sanctions
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: i.guim.co.uk
    
    US accuses Russia of conspiring to take over Ukraine government
    
    from https://www.theguardian.com/profile/julianborger,https://www.theguardian.com/profile/lukeharding,https://www.theguardian.com/profile/roth-andrew
    
    Treasury imposes sanctions on four current and former Ukraine government officials it says involved in alleged conspiracy
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:10 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  Ah yes, because the war in Syria went so well.
  https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/14/us/politics/russia-ukraine-biden-military.html
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  1. Now, in what would be a major turnaround, senior Biden administration officials are warning that the United States could throw its weight behind a Ukrainian insurgency should President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia invade Ukraine. How the United States, which just exited two decades of war in Afghanistan, might pivot to funding and supporting an insurgency from fighting one is still being worked out. But even a conversation about how far the United States would go to subvert Russian aims in the event of an invasion has revived the specter of a new Cold War and suddenly made real the prospect of the beginnings of a so-called great power conflict. In Afghanistan, the United States showed itself to be dismal at fighting insurgencies. But when it comes to funding them, military experts say it is a different ballgame.
    https://static.mamot.fr/media_attachments/files/107/625/551/319/103/757/original/3fb23e4e31221811.png
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:11 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  Imagine if France planned to support an armed insurgency in Canada, or China in Mexico. What would the NYT write?
  
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:27 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  The irresistible American classic, #RegimeChange abroad, soon released in a (#war) theater near you. From the producers of #Iran, #Cuba, #Venezuela, #Syria and more currently screening worldwide.
  https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/mar/26/biden-butcher-putin-cannot-be-allowed-to-stay-in-power
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: i.guim.co.uk
    
    Biden: ‘butcher’ Putin cannot be allowed to stay in power
    
    from https://www.theguardian.com/profile/daniel-boffey,https://www.theguardian.com/profile/shaun-walker,https://www.theguardian.com/profile/philip-oltermann
    
    West must prepare for a long fight ahead, president says, as Russian missiles hit Lviv in act of defiance
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:28 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  Just the other day I was reading #Popper on #Plato and #truth vs. #lies.
  «The problem whether or not a good end justifies bad means seems to arise out of such cases as whether one should lie to a sick man in order to set his mind at rest ; or whether one should keep a people in ignorance in order to make them happy ; or whether one should begin a long and bloody civil #war in order to establish a world of peace and beauty.»
  https://archive.org/details/opensocietyitsen0001popp_n9a8/page/286/mode/2up
  
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:29 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  «I had to use force to get them out. I lied to them, whatever I could think of, I said ‘there’s hot food waiting for you, electricity, mobile phone signal’ I lied and I’m not ashamed. I believe that the people I got out are in less danger than they were inside the city».
  https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/21/some-were-too-scared-to-leave-the-man-who-rescued-25-people-from-devastated-mariupol
  About lies in #Ukraine and difficult decisions in a #war.
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:30 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  «If there's just 1% chance for us to stop this #war, I think that we need to take this chance. We need to do that. I can tell you about the result of this negotiations — in any case, we are losing people on a daily basis, innocent people on the ground [...] unfortunately, our dignity is not going to preserve the lives. So, I think we have to use any format, any chance in order to have a possibility of negotiating».
  https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-putin-news-03-20-22/h_12a9e3fa87cba15cdb904a35e8926b9e
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:31 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  "The Constitution of #Russia": error 404, page not found.
  https://web.archive.org/web/20220307174404/http://en.kremlin.ru/acts/constitution
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  Nemo_bis 🌈 (nemobis@mamot.fr)'s status on Tuesday, 19-Nov-2024 16:10:32 JST Nemo_bis 🌈
  in reply to
  
  «#Putin deliberately frames his operation in #Ukraine in the same way that the United States has framed its own regime-change operations in #Kosovo, #Iraq and #Libya, charging that Ukraine has committed human rights violations and is a terrorist state.»
  https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/mar/08/russia-ukraine-war-possible-trajectories
  In conversation about 3 days ago permalink
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  1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: i.guim.co.uk
    
    I’ve studied all the possible trajectories of this war. None are good | Christopher S Chivvis
    
    from Christopher S Chivvis
    
    There are two likely paths: continued escalation, potentially across the nuclear threshold, or a bitter peace imposed on a defeated Ukraine

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