Conversation

Notices

1. Embed this notice
   Nonilex (nonilex@masto.ai)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 06:31:55 JST Nonilex

   #GiftArticle

   We’ve Been Underestimating the Scale of #Women’s #Fury

   By Michelle Goldberg

   On Saturday evening I was watching a movie w/my family when a text message made me gasp so hard that it scared them. “What happened?” my husband asked, worried. “Nothing bad,” I said, slightly overcome. “It’s just … #AnnSelzer has #Harris up 3 in #Iowa!”

   #HellHathNoFury #RoeRage #misogyny #BodilyAutonomy #ReproductiveRights #WomensRights #HumanRights #WomensHealth
   #HarrisWalz2024
   https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/04/opinion/women-polls-trump-iowa.html?unlocked_article_code=1.XU4.-Vul.T65utkaFMJyp&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

   • HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 repeated this.
   • Embed this notice
     Nonilex (nonilex@masto.ai)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 06:31:54 JST Nonilex

     in reply to

     All day, #political nerds had been waiting for the results of #AnnSelzer’s famously accurate poll of #Iowa. The state hasn’t been swingy in a long time, but the #Selzer poll, conducted for The #DesMoinesRegister, can offer clues about broader trends in the electorate. In 2016, when many #Democrats were feeling complacent about a #HillaryClinton victory, her survey showing #Trump leading by 7pts in Iowa was an early indication of his underestimated strength in the Midwest.

     #Women
     #HarrisWalz2024

     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 repeated this.
   • Embed this notice
     Nonilex (nonilex@masto.ai)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 06:41:03 JST Nonilex

     in reply to

     (#Trump ended up winning #Iowa by >9 points.) In 2020, her poll again showed Trump ahead by 7pts, which was both close to the final tally &, in retrospect, a sign that #Biden’s margins in neighboring states like #Wisconsin would be much thinner than other polls were indicating.

     So many of us were anxious to see how big Trump’s lead would be this time, & the fact that #Selzer instead found him #losing came as a shock.

     #women #BodilyAutonomy #ReproductiveRights #WomensHealth
     #HarrisWalz2024

     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 repeated this.
   • Embed this notice
     Nonilex (nonilex@masto.ai)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 06:41:21 JST Nonilex

     in reply to

     The poll may easily turn out to be wrong; #Selzer’s record is as good as anyone’s in the business, but it’s not perfect. Should #KamalaHarris win this #election, though, the poll will be part of the story of her victory. The reason for Selzer’s anomalous finding is simple: #women. If it’s anywhere near accurate, it suggests that conventional political wisdom has been seriously underrating the scale of women’s #fury over #abortion bans & their revulsion at #Trump’s cartoonishly macho campaign.

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 06:49:22 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @Nonilex

     #Elections2024 #USpol

     (1/2)

     I had been waiting for this for months.

     Never will I understand women voting for Trump that aren't hardcore MAGA|ts and or from the religious right.

     Even if they believe that they were financially much better of during #TFG's first and hopefully final presidency, how can you trade that for the ever-present danger of a miscarriage of women among your family and friends from about 12-50?

     As....

     https://masto.ai/@Nonilex/113426824670510395

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 06:49:29 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @Nonilex

     #Elections2024 #USpol

     (1/2)

     I had been waiting for this for months.

     Never will I understand women voting for Trump that aren't hardcore MAGA|ts and or from the religious right.

     Even if they believe that they were financially much better of during #TFG's first and hopefully final presidency, how can you trade that for the ever-present danger of a miscarriage of women among your family and friends from about 12-50?

     As....

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 07:00:46 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @Nonilex

     #Elections2024 #USpol

     ...The Economist explained in his recent podcast endorsing #Harris, this time, there will not his staffers and the beaucrats reigning in his excesses. Through #Project2025 (e.g. replacing many important beaurocrats with loyalists) and the #SupremeCourt, #Trump will have quasi unfettered powers.

     //

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 07:02:24 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @Nonilex

     #Elections2024 #USpol

     ...The Economist explained in his recent podcast endorsing #Harris, this time, there will not his staffers and the beaucrats reigning in his excesses. Through #Project2025 (e.g. replacing many important beaurocrats with loyalists) and the #SupremeCourt, #Trump will have quasi unfettered powers.

     We've all been looking at the wrong #Apprentice:

     "Sir, my need is sore.
     Spirits that I've cited
     My commands ignore."

     The Sorcerer's Apprentice/ #Goethe

     //

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-2024 07:02:25 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴

     in reply to

     @Nonilex

     #Elections2024 #USpol

     (2/2)

     ...The Economist explained in his recent podcast endorsing #Harris, this time, there will not his staffers and the beaucrats reigning in his excesses. Through #Project2025 (e.g. replacing many important beaurocrats with loyalists) and the #SupremeCourt, #Trump will have quasi unfettered powers.

     We've all been looking at the wrong #Apprentice:

     "Sir, my need is sore.
     Spirits that I've cited
     My commands ignore."

     The Sorcerer's Apprentice/ #Goethe

     //