AkaSci 🛰️
New ABC News/Ipsos poll shows Kamala Harris with a 4 point lead nationally over trump.
"The poll finds a notable shift in vote preferences among Hispanic people, 12% of likely voters and a potentially important group given the close contest, esp. in the battleground states of AZ and NV. Biden won Hispanic people by 33 points in 2020, per the ABC News exit poll, and Harris leads in this group by a similar 30 points now, 64-34% -- compared with 55-43% in early Oct."
AkaSci 🛰️
ABC News/Ipsos poll info -
Dates: Oct 18-22
Random national sample of 2,808 adults, including 2,392 registered voters and 1,913 likely voters.
Results have a margin of sampling error of 2 percentage points, including the design effect, for the full sample and for registered voters, 2.5 points for likely voters and 5.5 points for likely voters in the battleground states, AZ, GA, MI, NV, NC, PA and WI. Sampling error is not the only source of differences in polls.
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