Mastodon Migration
Right now we are experiencing a tsunami of "Red Wave" polling.
About a month ago, Rosenberg predicted that a slew of polls by Republican organizations would flood the zone, showing Trump leading — and, like clockwork, it has happened:
These Trump biased polls, particularly focused in the swing states when added into the averages make it look like Trump is doing well when in reality he is losing.
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Mastodon Migration
"Red Wave Polling Tsunami"
“The reason it matters... One, is it demobilizes [voters]. When we think we’re losing, we demobilize, our voters disengage. Money dries up... [same for them] if they think they’re losing... [Two] it is vital to Trump’s effort: If he tries to cheat and overturn the election results, he needs to have data showing that somehow he was winning the election... so if he loses, he can say we cheated.”
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Mastodon Migration
"Red Wave Polling Tsunami"
Right now both the national and the swing state polls are loaded up with Red Wave polling. The net effect is to bring down Harris and make it appear even or in some cases Trump leading. This gives rise to dozens of articles about Trump's increasing strength, which is the purpose.
The best advice is to ignore the averages and look at only "high quality polls" which consistently have Harris up 4 to 6 nationally, and leading in the swing states.
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