Conversation

Notices

Embed this notice
Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Monday, 09-Sep-2024 09:21:21 JST Tim Chambers

This is therapeutic, share to any nervous progressive friends in the US.
https://newsmast.social/@KamalaHarrisWin/113104724507795805
In conversation about 3 months ago from indieweb.social permalink
Attachments
1. No result found on File_thumbnail lookup.
  
  Kamala Harris News Group 2.0 (@KamalaHarrisWin@newsmast.social)
  
  from Kamala Harris News Group 2.0
  
  Back in September, @podhorzer@threads.net warned us about "Mad Poll Disease," and to not worry nor watch the polls. Share with worried friends. Bookmark this article and use as needed: "To begin to cure Mad Poll Disease, make this your mantra: Horse race polling can’t tell us anything we don’t already know before Election Day about who will win the Electoral College. All we know, or can know, is this... The Electoral College is too close to call. The Electoral College will almost certainly be decided by which candidate wins at least Georgia or Pennsylvania, plus two out of three of the other battleground states: Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin. In both 2016 and 2020, the margin of victory in most of these five states was less than 1 point.... I’m saying that, when elections are very close, it’s simply not possible for any polls or forecasting to tell us anything more specific than “the race will be close.” They’re just not accurate enough; it’s like trying to look for bacteria using a magnifying glass. Any election within the margin of error is also within the margin of effort. Campaign professionals know this; it is their job to put in the effort required to turn out enough supporters to win. But we should also talk about the effort the media should put in – not to swing the election one way or another, but to report on what is true and what matters." #KamalaHarris https://www.weekendreading.net/p/a-cure-for-mad-poll-disease
- Embed this notice
  Badger AF (he/him) DEMOCRACY (badger_af@mstdn.social)'s status on Tuesday, 10-Sep-2024 11:21:11 JST Badger AF (he/him) DEMOCRACY
  in reply to
  
  @tchambers This editorial by Josh Marshall complements this post: https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/another-poll-check-in
  In conversation about 3 months ago permalink
  Attachments
  1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: s3.amazonaws.com
    
    Another Poll Check In
    
    from @joshtpm
    
    I wanted to look at a decent number of new polls out...

Public

Conversation

Notices

Feeds