"After a month-long pause due to President Joe Biden’s decision to withdraw his candidacy, the Decision Desk HQ Forecast model is back. ... As of our relaunch on August 26th, the presidential model shows Kamala Harris with a 55% chance of winning the presidency. This compared to the 56% chance our previous model gave Donald Trump to defeat Joe Biden when Biden dropped out of the race." https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/president/