Most recently, and perhaps impressively, ♦️Bloomberg/Morning Consult has released a new batch of seven #battleground state polls taken from July 24-28.
Overall, they showed Harris #leading Trump by one percent (48 to 47 percent), as compared to a two-point Trump lead over Biden in early July.
The individual state gains by Harris were also striking:
she led by two percent (49 to 47 percent) in #Arizona, a real problem state for Biden;
by two percent (47 to 45 percent) in #Nevada;
by two percent (49 to 47 percent) in #Wisconsin;
and by an astonishing 11 percent (53 to 42 percent) in #Michigan.
Harris was tied with Trump in #Georgia at 47 percent,
and trailed him by two percent (46 to 48 percent) in #North #Carolina
and by four percent (46 to 50 percent) in #Pennsylvania.
Three battleground states have enough post-Biden-Harris-switch polling now for ♦️FiveThirtyEight to compile averages,
and all of them show very close races.
In #Georgia, Trump leads by 1.1 percent (45.9 to 44.8 percent),
but Harris leads in #Michigan by 1.8 percent (44.8 to 43.1 percent)
and most surprisingly, in #Pennsylvania by 0.4 percent (45.1 to 44.6 percent).
There is also significant evidence that Harris is doing better than Biden among the
#young, #Black, and #Latino voting categories on which Biden’s 2020 win depended.
In the most recent ♦️Times-Siena poll, she leads Trump among under-30 #likely voters by 59 percent to 38 percent,
among #Black likely voters by 72 percent to 19 percent,
and among #Latino likely voters by 60 percent to 36 percent.
A new Axios–Generation Lab poll of 🔸18 to 34-year-old voters showed
Harris expanding a six-point Biden lead (53 percent to 47 percent) to 🔥20 points (60 percent to 40 percent).
More generally, Harris is becoming more popular than Biden. FiveThirtyEight’s favorability averages for Harris currently show her at 42.4 percent favorable/49.1 percent unfavorable, up from a 36/54 ratio a month ago, and distinctly better than Biden’s 38/54 margin when he dropped out of the race.
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/harris-vs-trump-polls-kamalas-gains-are-now-a-trend.html