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   Minoru Saba (minorusaba@toad.social)'s status on Thursday, 18-Jul-2024 10:00:52 JST Minoru Saba

   "...a majority of both US and Taiwan experts [on China's invasion of #Taiwan] assessed that a crisis is either likely or very likely in 2024 [and] the Japanese strategic community generally believes that the Taiwan Strait contingency will spill over to #Japan"
   "...US-China strategic nuclear power balance [shifting] toward parity continues to add uncertainty to US Taiwan policy"
   as seen per US stance re Russia invading #Ukraine.
   https://global.upenn.edu/perryworldhouse/news/japans-response-chinese-invasion-taiwan-four-year-outlook
   🔸Best option for Japan: become inedible?

   • Embed this notice
     Minoru Saba (minorusaba@toad.social)'s status on Thursday, 18-Jul-2024 23:10:22 JST Minoru Saba

     in reply to

     • Christopher Keener, pHd :ddg:

     @RoboticistDuck Japan is probably seen mainly as a geographical thorn in the backside blocking clear access to the Pacific by both China & Russia.
     Japan as porcupine fish might persuade the bigger fish to go elsewhere for lunch.

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     Christopher Keener, pHd :ddg: (roboticistduck@mas.to)'s status on Thursday, 18-Jul-2024 23:10:23 JST Christopher Keener, pHd :ddg:

     in reply to

     @minorusaba that sounds like a particularly tasty option, the poison pill. Being about ten years ahead of China in terms of its aging demographic, perhaps it’s already swallowed the pill to some extent, depending upon how one views the situation. Japan also doesn’t offer any access to particularly strategic resources, unless it’s plutonium stockpile could be considered such.