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   pettter (pettter@mastodon.acc.umu.se)'s status on Monday, 08-Jul-2024 17:51:06 JST pettter

   My impression is that Macron called this election basically in order to hand over power to RN, making the election campaign extremely short as an attempt to avoid the left crystallizing around specific candidates in most districts, and working quietly behind the scenes to maintain ENS vote splitting against the NPF between rounds 1 and 2 (against his own PM).

   The election loss is as much Macrons as it is RNs.

   • Embed this notice
     pettter (pettter@mastodon.acc.umu.se)'s status on Monday, 08-Jul-2024 22:25:35 JST pettter

     in reply to

     • tobychev

     @tobychev He wanted RN to win and govern badly so he could win on nostalgia at the next election, gambling that a) there would be a 'next election' after the fascists grab power and b) the left would continue to be demonized in the press and internally divided.

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     tobychev (tobychev@qoto.org)'s status on Monday, 08-Jul-2024 22:25:36 JST tobychev

     in reply to

     @pettter
     Why would you say that? He could hand over power much more effectively and easily by actually dealing with them directly rather than calling a surprise election.

     The election is doubtless a loss for Macron, and largely his own fault, but this is simply because he called it without any plans or preparation. To me it looks more like he was so shocked by the EP results that he couldn't believe they reflected real sentiment and gambled he'd win in the real thing.

     Looking at the end result, the parliament he got was even worse for Macron than what he started with, so whatever reasons he had they were clearly dumb ones.