@michael@msw I will place my bet on the project that attracts the most previously active contributors. Personally speaking I don’t think Drew’s fork will be it.
I don't speak for either community effort, though I've been freely sharing my personal opinions with both efforts. 😅
I wouldn't advise going with the CNCF unless you're happy with the policies that are already established (including the IP policy and project incubation / graduation process).
I can't see how those policies and practices are a good fit for either community.