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   Zach Weinersmith (zachweinersmith@mastodon.social)'s status on Sunday, 04-Feb-2024 22:16:52 JST Zach Weinersmith

   Posted this yesterday on the Bird site, because it's where I'm regularly told I'm anti progress. So far no bets.

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     Zach Weinersmith (zachweinersmith@mastodon.social)'s status on Sunday, 04-Feb-2024 22:16:51 JST Zach Weinersmith

     in reply to

     So... people are confident their optimistic projections are right, but not enough to say anything specific, lay any odds, or put five bucks on the line.

     Børge repeated this.
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     Zach Weinersmith (zachweinersmith@mastodon.social)'s status on Sunday, 04-Feb-2024 22:16:51 JST Zach Weinersmith

     in reply to

     I've really come to think that in many cases, the demand to be more optimistic is just an in-group identifier, not a confident belief in actual reality. I've been genuinely surprised how many people will openly say some version of "I didn't disagree with anything specific, but the book didn't hype me up so I didn't like it."