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   HebrideanHecate (hebrideanhecate@spinster.xyz)'s status on Wednesday, 18-Oct-2023 22:27:56 JST HebrideanHecate

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   • Flick ??

   @Flick The whole thing is a terrifying tinder box.

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     Flick ?? (flick@spinster.xyz)'s status on Wednesday, 18-Oct-2023 22:27:56 JST Flick ??

     in reply to

     @HebrideanHecate It is. Very worrying.

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     Lady_Penelope (lady_penelope@spinster.xyz)'s status on Wednesday, 18-Oct-2023 22:27:56 JST Lady_Penelope

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     • Flick ??
     @Flick @HebrideanHecate Worst case scenario in terms of global escalation is probably Israel nuking the Iranian mountains, in a response/preemptive to any united show from its neighbours in Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, Egypt, Iran etc.
     
     I have enough faith in the toothlessness of the latter's governments to think this unlikely, but I do wonder what time we're at on the old doomsday clock.
     Seahorses are horses likes this.
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     Flick ?? (flick@spinster.xyz)'s status on Wednesday, 18-Oct-2023 22:27:57 JST Flick ??

     Long read: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/will-there-be-world-war-3-israel-67hwdbhl8

     I have argued for five years that the United States and its allies already find themselves in a new cold war, this time with the People’s Republic of China. I have argued for a year and a half that the war in Ukraine is roughly equivalent to the Korean War during the first Cold War, revealing an ideological as well as geopolitical division between the countries of the “Rimland” (the Anglosphere, western Europe and Japan) and those of the Eurasian “Heartland” (China, Russia and Iran plus North Korea).

     And I have warned since January that a war in the Middle East might be the next crisis in a cascade of conflict that has the potential to escalate to a Third World War, especially if China seizes the moment — perhaps as early as next year — to impose a blockade on Taiwan. Now that the Middle Eastern war has indeed broken out, what course will history take?

     https://archive.ph/W60ii